Thursday, May 1, 2008

Media Rule: Act As If Long Enough It Comes True


The bruised economy limped through the first quarter, growing at just a 0.6 percent pace as housing and credit problems forced people and businesses alike to hunker down.

The country's economic growth during January through March was the same as in the final three months of last year, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. The statistic did not meet what economists consider a definition of a recession, which is a contraction of the economy. This means that although the economy is stuck in a rut, it is still managing to grow, even if slightly.

Many analysts were predicting that the gross domestic product (GDP) would weaken a bit more -- to a pace of just 0.5 percent -- in the first quarter. Earlier this year, some thought the economy would actually lurch into reverse during the opening quarter. Now, they say they believe that will likely happen during the current April-to-June period.

"The economy is weak but not collapsing," said Lynn Reaser, chief economist at Bank of America's Investment Strategies Group. "A recession can't be ruled out, although the stars are not lined up at this point to definitively say one way or the other."

The media has been talking the economy down since Bush took office, didn't it have to have grown to have slowed?

But they will eventually get their recession -- just not yet. (I think we have or are near the bottom now.)
DKK
Ace Of Spades HQ --Economy Grows In First Quarter By 0.6%; Weak Numbers, But Better Than Expected

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